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Izinhlobo ezahlukene ze-polypropylene, umkhawulo wenzuzo cishe izikhathi ezingu-3, ​​indlela yokufuna ukuthuthukiswa ngaphansi kwevolumu?

 

Kubonakala sengathi kukhona ukuvumelana okukhulu nokuzenzakalelayo embonini "kwi-polypropylene engaphakathi," futhi ukuthuthukiswa kokuhlanganiswa komkhiqizo we-polypropylene kuyashesha ngasese.I-Propane ingumthombo, futhi izinkampani azisaneliseki ngemikhiqizo ye-homopolymer.

Ngenkathi ukudweba, i-fiber, ukubunjwa komjovo we-homopolymer kanye nefilimu ye-BOPP kuseyisakhiwo esiyisisekelo semikhiqizo ye-polypropylene, kunezinkampani eziningi ezibandakanyekayo ku-copolymer yomthelela, ipayipi, obala, i-terpolymer nemikhiqizo yegwebu.Ngaphezu kokusebenza esakhiweni somkhiqizo, ukuthunyelwa kwemikhiqizo ye-polypropylene emazweni angaphandle kuphinde kwangenisa inkathi entsha, lapho ukuthunyelwa kwe-polypropylene kwasekhaya kudlula amathani ayizigidi eziyi-1 okokuqala ngqa ngo-2021.

Njengamanje, imakethe yasekhaya inezinga eliphezulu lokuthembela kwangaphandle ezintweni ezikhethekile ze-polypropylene, kuhlanganise nezigaba ezimbili eziyinhloko.Elinye lamabanga aphezulu ezinhlobonhlobo zenqwaba, njenge-high crystallinity polypropylene (HCPP), i-high rigidity polypropylene (HSPP) kanye ne-high melt strength polypropylene (HMSPP).Esinye isigaba izinhlobonhlobo ezikhethekile zemikhiqizo ye-polypropylene, njengemikhiqizo ye-polypropylene yomlotha ophansi kakhulu, imikhiqizo ye-metallocene polypropylene, njll.

158685849640260200

 

1. I-HCPP: imikhiqizo ye-copolymer incike kakhulu ekuthengeni kwamanye amazwe, futhi imikhiqizo yasekhaya ikakhulukazi i-homopolymerized

I-high crystallinity polypropylene (HCPP) ingahlukaniswa ngezigaba ezimbili: i-copolymerization kanye ne-homopolymerization.Phakathi kwazo, imikhiqizo ye-copolymer isetshenziswa kakhulu ezindaweni ezansi nomfula njengezimoto nemishini yasendlini, kuyilapho imikhiqizo ye-homopolymer isetshenziswa kakhulu embonini yokupakisha ukudla.Ngo-2019, ukusetshenziswa kwe-HCPP emakethe yaseShayina kuzoba ngamathani angama-500,000.Izimboni zezimoto nezokupakisha ziyizinhlelo zokusebenza ezinkulu kunazo zonke ezansi nomfula ze-HCPP, kanti ukusetshenziswa kubala u-70% wokusetshenziswa okuphelele.

I-China ekuqaleni inomthamo wokukhiqiza we-HCPP, kodwa kusekhona igebe ngemikhiqizo engenisiwe uma kuziwa ekusetshenzisweni kwezimoto nezinye izinhlelo zokusebenza.I-HCPP yaseShayina i-copolymer ithembele kakhulu ezintweni ezithengwa kwamanye amazwe, okuthengisiwe kubala cishe u-90% wevolumu iyonke.Abahlinzeki abakhulu yi-SK, Borouge, LyondellBasell, Zhongsha Tianjin, Hanwha TOTAL, njll. I-Homopolymer HCPP iyimikhiqizo yasekhaya ikakhulukazi, abahlinzeki abakhulu yiLuoyang Petrochemical, Guangzhou Petrochemical, Lanzhou Petrochemical, Panjin Huajin, Zhenhai Refinery, njll.

 

Indlela yesibili: nweba ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle

Ngo-2021, ukuthunyelwa kwe-polypropylene yaseChina okungamathani ayizigidi ezingu-1.3911, okukhuphuke ngo-227.24% unyaka nonyaka, ikakhulukazi eNingizimu-mpumalanga ye-Asia.Ikota engu-1 ka-2022, ithintwe ukukhuphuka kwezindleko, amanani entengo ye-polypropylene angaphandle akhuphuke kakhulu, kuvulwe iwindi lokuthekelisa le-polypropylene, ingxenye yevolumu yanyanga zonke yokwenza ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe.1, February ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kuye kwanda unyaka nonyaka, ngoMashi ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe, nakuba kungaphansi kwenkathi efanayo ngonyaka odlule (2021 Nakuba ivolumu yokuthekelisa ngoMashi yayingekho phezulu njengenyanga efanayo ngonyaka odlule (ukunikezwa komhlaba kwakuqinile ngenxa ye-US amakhaza ngo-2021, futhi ukuthunyelwa kwangaphakathi ezweni kukhuphuke kafushane), kulindeleke ukuthi kukhuphuke kakhulu kusukela ngonyaka odlule. Ivolumu yokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kulindeleke ukuthi ibe amathani angu-249,500 ngoJanuwari-March 2022, yehle ngo-7.93% YoY kanye no-21.79% YoY.

 

Indlela yesithathu: isiqondiso somkhiqizo

Uma ubheka isimo senzuzo sezinhlobo ezahlukene zemikhiqizo, eminyakeni yamuva nje, inzuzo yezinto ezibonakalayo zamapayipi amanzi ashisayo ihlala ingcono, ikakhulukazi ngethonya lokudonsa kwemakethe yokuthuthukisa ikhaya, umkhawulo wenzuzo ongaba ngu-25%, amanye amabhizinisi inzuzo yezinto ezibonakalayo iphezulu. .Okwesibili inzuzo yomkhiqizo wefilimu ye-terpolymer polypropylene ingcono, imelwe yi-Yanshan Petrochemical, kodwa isidingo semakethe asiqinisekile, inzuzo yomkhiqizo ingaba ngu-20% -26%, ungafaki inzuzo yomkhiqizo wamabhizinisi kangcono.

Ngo-2021, i-Shanghai SECCO, i-Maoming Petrochemical, i-Baofeng Energy, i-Donghua Energy namanye amabhizinisi amaningi athuthukisa futhi ahlela ukukhiqizwa kwezinto ezibonakalayo.Inzuzo yezinto ezibonakalayo ibonwa ngamabhizinisi ukuthi iphakeme, kanti inzuzo yomkhiqizo isondele ku-20%.

Ngaphezu kwalokho, izinto ezimelana nokuncibilika okuphezulu, ukuqina okuphezulu kanye ne-polypropylene yekristalu ephezulu, amapulasitiki omjovo we-copolymer angahleliwe, amapulasitiki omjovo odongeni amancane kanye nezinto ezikhethekile ze-thermoforming zingafinyelela ku-15% noma inzuzo ephakeme nakakhulu.

Eminyakeni yamuva nje, ukuthuthukiswa okuphezulu kokuqondisa kwe-polypropylene, i-metallocene polypropylene, i-polypropylene yamandla aphezulu ancibilika, ulwelwesi olungangeni manzi lwe-polypropylene impahla ekhethekile, i-polypropylene ephakeme eqinile eqinile, "i-polypropylene emithathu ephezulu ephansi", njll.

Amapayipi amanzi ashisayo ahlala eyimikhiqizo enenzuzo kakhulu embonini ye-polypropylene, kodwa amamaki aphezulu amapayipi amanzi ashisayo anenzuzo enkulu, kodwa anqunyelwe ubuchwepheshe bokukhiqiza.Ukukhiqizwa kwasekhaya kwemikhiqizo ye-polypropylene ephezulu kunqunyelwe ukuphumelela kwezobuchwepheshe.Ubuchwepheshe buye baholela ekungalinganini phakathi kokuhlinzekwa nokufunwa, okuye kwaba yisici esibalulekile esithinta inzuzo yokukhiqizwa kwe-polypropylene.

Ngemikhiqizo esezingeni elifanele njengezinto ezijwayelekile zokudweba nezinto ezincibilika kancane, inzuzo yomkhiqizo icishe ibe ngu-10-12%.I-high-melt fiber material ibuyele kakhulu kokujwayelekile mayelana nokukhiqizwa kwemigqa ngo-2021.

Ngokungeziwe ekuthuthukisweni kwezobuchwepheshe, izinguquko ekusetshenzisweni kwemakethe nazo zidinga ukunakwa okwengeziwe.Eminyakeni yamuva nje, uguquko nokuphindaphinda kwalolu bhubhane kulethe izinguquko eziningi ekuziphatheni kokusetshenziswa kwemakethe, futhi ithimba labadayisi lidinga ukugcina ukulawula okubucayi kwesidingo sabathengi kanye nokuthuthukiswa okusebenzayo kwamashaneli emakethe.

 

Indlela 4: Ukuhlanganisa i-R&D nokukhiqiza namakhasimende angezansi

I-Sinopec, i-PetroChina, i-Wanhua Chemical kanye namanye amabhizinisi ahamba phambili aziwayo asungule indlela yokusebenza ndawonye namakhasimende angezansi ukuze akhe imikhiqizo emisha ye-polyolefin.Ngokwezidingo zamakhasimende, bathuthukisa inkomba yomkhiqizo futhi bakhulise ukuzinza kwekhwalithi yomkhiqizo ukuze bakhulise ukunamathela kwamakhasimende futhi benze inzuzo ephumelelayo.

Amanye amabhizinisi azimele azama ukuvula yonke imodeli yeketango lemboni yenyuka nomfula, isibonelo, i-Zhongjing Petrochemical yakha imodeli yochungechunge lwemboni yonke kusukela ku-propane, i-propylene, i-polypropylene nefilimu ye-polypropylene.

 

I-2, i-HSPP: imikhiqizo yeminwe encibilikayo ephansi naphakathi ingaphezu kwensalela, ncibilikisa umunwe omkhulu kunemikhiqizo engama-30 incike ngokuphelele ekuthengisweni kwamanye amazwe.

I-HSPP ichazwa ngokuyinhloko ngokombono wamandla omthelela, okuthuthukisa ukuqina kwezinto eziguquliwe futhi kusize inkampani yezinto ezibonakalayo eguquliwe ukuthi inciphise ukulayishwa komzimba wepulasitiki, ngaleyo ndlela yenza ukubunjwa kube lula.

Ngo-2019, imakethe yaseShayina izosebenzisa amathani angaba ngu-350,000 e-HSPP, esetshenziswa kakhulu emikhakheni engezansi efana nezimoto, amathoyizi nempahla yasendlini.Phakathi kwazo, izimoto ziyindawo enkulu kunazo zonke ezisetshenziswayo ezansi nomfula, ezibalelwa ngaphezu kwama-50%.Amathoyizi ayindawo yesibili ngobukhulu esetshenziswayo, ebalwa ngaphezu kwama-30%.Ukusetshenziswa kwe-HSPP emkhakheni wezimoto e-China kuzoqhubeka nokukhula esikhathini esizayo njengoba izimfuneko zemboni yezimoto zezinto zokwakha ziya esisindweni esilula nokusebenza okuphezulu.

E-China, kunabahlinzeki abaningi bemikhiqizo ye-HSPP, futhi imikhiqizo yasekhaya ithatha ingxenye enkulu yemakethe.Ukunikezwa kwemikhiqizo enenkomba encibilikisiwe ephansi naphakathi kuyinsalela, kuyilapho imikhiqizo ye-HSPP enenkomba yokuncibilika engaphezu kuka-30 isancike ngokuphelele emikhiqizweni evela kwamanye amazwe.I-Qilu Petrochemical, i-Formosa Ningbo kanye ne-Yanshan Petrochemical sebengabahlinzeki abakhulu bemikhiqizo emakethe yaseShayina.Ngaphezu kwe-10% yemikhiqizo ye-HSPP isahlinzekwa ngabakhiqizi bangaphandle, njenge-Borouge, i-Lyondellbasell ne-Exxonmobil.

 

I-3, i-HMSPP: usayizi wemakethe omncane kodwa usenenzuzo

Kusenegebe phakathi kwekhwalithi nesithunzi semikhiqizo yasekhaya ye-HMSPP yase-China kanye nemikhiqizo engenisiwe.Imakethe yaseShayina yemikhiqizo ye-HMSPP ihlinzekwa ikakhulukazi yi-Shanghai Petrochemical, Singapore TPC kanye neSouth Korea LG Chem.

Isidingo semakethe se-HMSPP singamathani angama-52,000 kuphela, okuthi ama-95% awo asetshenziswe okokufaka amagwebu e-polypropylene, kodwa futhi okomjovo womkhiqizo ongenalutho kanye nezicelo zefilimu.Ngenxa yobukhulu obuncane bemakethe ye-EPP ezansi nomfula namandla okuxoxisana abuthakathaka abakhiqizi be-EPP, imikhiqizo ye-HMSPP isemakethe encane kodwa enenzuzo eyamukelekayo.

 

4, I-polypropylene ene-Ultra-low-ash: I-95% yemakethe yaseShayina incike ekuthengisweni kwamanye amazwe

I-Global ultra-low ash polypropylene ikakhulukazi ihlinzekwa yi-Korea Petrochemical, Scandinavian Chemical, TPC kanye ne-Sinopec Zhongyuan Petrochemical, kuyilapho i-Korea Petrochemical, i-Scandinavian Chemical kanye ne-Singapore TPC ihlinzeka ngaphezu kuka-90% wesamba esitholakala emhlabeni jikelele.Emakethe yaseShayina, u-95% we-ultra-low ash polypropylene incike ekuthengeni kwamanye amazwe.

Ngo-2019, kwasetshenziswa amathani ayi-104,000 e-ultra-low ash polypropylene emakethe yaseChina.Imboni ye-diaphragm yebhethri iyona esetshenziswa kakhulu, ilandelwa yimboni yefilimu ye-capacitor esebenzisa isamba esingu-93%.Ama-diaphragm ebhethri namafilimu e-capacitor ayizicelo eziyinhloko ze-polypropylene yomlotha ophansi, ngakho-ke amanani awo ajwayelekile ahlala esezingeni elifanayo nenani elijwayelekile lentengo.Izimoto, imikhiqizo yezingane kanye nezicelo zempahla yasendlini zingamasegimenti anenani eliphakeme, kodwa imakethe ivaliwe, ngamavolumu amancane kanye nokuthuthukiswa kwemakethe okunzima.Ukusetshenziswa kwe-ultra-low-ash polypropylene kulinganiselwa ukuthi kuzokhula ngamaphesenti angaphezu kuka-7 eminyakeni eyi-10 ezayo.

 

5. Ungathuthukisa kanjani ngaphansi kwe-polypropylene in-roll?

Phakathi nenkathi ka-2021, ukukhiqizwa okuthile kwe-polypropylene e-China kubone isigaba sokulahlekelwa.Lokhu ukuvezwa kokuqala kokungalingani kwezidingo zemboni kanye nokungakwazi ukudlulisa ngempumelelo izindleko ezikhuphukayo zezinto zokusetshenziswa.Izindleko zemikhiqizo ye-polypropylene, ngaphezu kwe-propylene monomer, ama-catalysts, izithasiselo, nama-copolymer monomers abiza ngokuhlukile okuholela ekuhlukeni kwezindleko zezinhlobo ezahlukene zemikhiqizo ye-polypropylene.

Indlela yokuqala: enkulu

Isikali sokuthuthukisa sesiphenduke inketho yamabhizinisi amaningi azimele.Isakhiwo esijulile se-Donghua Amandla i-Daxie ne-Maoming, i-Zhongjing Petrochemical amathani ayizigidi ezingu-1.2 / ngonyaka i-copolymer polypropylene efakwe ekukhiqizeni phakathi nonyaka, isikali se-Zhejiang Petrochemical polypropylene saya kumathani ayizigidi ezingu-1.8 ngonyaka.Isisekelo se-Baofeng Energy Ningdong kanye ne-Erdos base base double point ukwakhiwa.Ukunciphisa izindleko eziphelele zokukhiqiza ngokusebenzisa isikali sekuyisinqumo sokuqala ezinkampanini eziningi.

Indlela yesibili: nweba ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle

Ngo-2021, ukuthunyelwa kwe-polypropylene yaseChina okungamathani ayizigidi ezingu-1.3911, okukhuphuke ngo-227.24% unyaka nonyaka, ikakhulukazi eNingizimu-mpumalanga ye-Asia.Ikota engu-1 ka-2022, ithintwe ukukhuphuka kwezindleko, amanani entengo ye-polypropylene angaphandle akhuphuke kakhulu, kuvulwe iwindi lokuthekelisa le-polypropylene, ingxenye yevolumu yanyanga zonke yokwenza ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe.1, February ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kuye kwanda unyaka nonyaka, ngoMashi ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe, nakuba kungaphansi kwenkathi efanayo ngonyaka odlule (2021 Nakuba ivolumu yokuthekelisa ngoMashi yayingekho phezulu njengenyanga efanayo ngonyaka odlule (ukunikezwa komhlaba kwakuqinile ngenxa ye-US amakhaza ngo-2021, futhi ukuthunyelwa kwangaphakathi ezweni kukhuphuke kafushane), kulindeleke ukuthi kukhuphuke kakhulu kusukela ngonyaka odlule. Ivolumu yokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kulindeleke ukuthi ibe amathani angu-249,500 ngoJanuwari-March 2022, yehle ngo-7.93% YoY kanye no-21.79% YoY.

Indlela yesithathu: isiqondiso somkhiqizo

Uma ubheka isimo senzuzo sezinhlobo ezahlukene zemikhiqizo, eminyakeni yamuva nje, inzuzo yezinto ezibonakalayo zamapayipi amanzi ashisayo ihlala ingcono, ikakhulukazi ngethonya lokudonsa kwemakethe yokuthuthukisa ikhaya, umkhawulo wenzuzo ongaba ngu-25%, amanye amabhizinisi inzuzo yezinto ezibonakalayo iphezulu. .Okwesibili inzuzo yomkhiqizo wefilimu ye-terpolymer polypropylene ingcono, imelwe yi-Yanshan Petrochemical, kodwa isidingo semakethe asiqinisekile, inzuzo yomkhiqizo ingaba ngu-20% -26%, ungafaki inzuzo yomkhiqizo wamabhizinisi kangcono.

Ngo-2021, i-Shanghai SECCO, i-Maoming Petrochemical, i-Baofeng Energy, i-Donghua Energy namanye amabhizinisi amaningi athuthukisa futhi ahlela ukukhiqizwa kwezinto ezibonakalayo.Inzuzo yezinto ezibonakalayo ibonwa ngamabhizinisi ukuthi iphakeme, kanti inzuzo yomkhiqizo isondele ku-20%.

Ngaphezu kwalokho, izinto ezimelana nokuncibilika okuphezulu, ukuqina okuphezulu kanye ne-polypropylene yekristalu ephezulu, amapulasitiki omjovo we-copolymer angahleliwe, amapulasitiki omjovo odongeni amancane kanye nezinto ezikhethekile ze-thermoforming zingafinyelela ku-15% noma inzuzo ephakeme nakakhulu.

Eminyakeni yamuva nje, ukuthuthukiswa okuphezulu kokuqondisa kwe-polypropylene, i-metallocene polypropylene, i-polypropylene yamandla aphezulu ancibilika, ulwelwesi olungangeni manzi lwe-polypropylene impahla ekhethekile, i-polypropylene ephakeme eqinile eqinile, "i-polypropylene emithathu ephezulu ephansi", njll.

Amapayipi amanzi ashisayo ahlala eyimikhiqizo enenzuzo kakhulu embonini ye-polypropylene, kodwa amamaki aphezulu amapayipi amanzi ashisayo anenzuzo enkulu, kodwa anqunyelwe ubuchwepheshe bokukhiqiza.Ukukhiqizwa kwasekhaya kwemikhiqizo ye-polypropylene ephezulu kunqunyelwe ukuphumelela kwezobuchwepheshe.Ubuchwepheshe buye baholela ekungalinganini phakathi kokuhlinzekwa nokufunwa, okuye kwaba yisici esibalulekile esithinta inzuzo yokukhiqizwa kwe-polypropylene.

Ngemikhiqizo esezingeni elifanele njengezinto ezijwayelekile zokudweba nezinto ezincibilika kancane, inzuzo yomkhiqizo icishe ibe ngu-10-12%.I-high-melt fiber material ibuyele kakhulu kokujwayelekile mayelana nokukhiqizwa kwemigqa ngo-2021.

Ngokungeziwe ekuthuthukisweni kwezobuchwepheshe, izinguquko ekusetshenzisweni kwemakethe nazo zidinga ukunakwa okwengeziwe.Eminyakeni yamuva nje, uguquko nokuphindaphinda kwalolu bhubhane kulethe izinguquko eziningi ekuziphatheni kokusetshenziswa kwemakethe, futhi ithimba labadayisi lidinga ukugcina ukulawula okubucayi kwesidingo sabathengi kanye nokuthuthukiswa okusebenzayo kwamashaneli emakethe.

Indlela 4: Ukuhlanganisa i-R&D nokukhiqiza namakhasimende angezansi

I-Sinopec, i-PetroChina, i-Wanhua Chemical kanye namanye amabhizinisi ahamba phambili aziwayo asungule indlela yokusebenza ndawonye namakhasimende angezansi ukuze akhe imikhiqizo emisha ye-polyolefin.Ngokwezidingo zamakhasimende, bathuthukisa inkomba yomkhiqizo futhi bakhulise ukuzinza kwekhwalithi yomkhiqizo ukuze bakhulise ukunamathela kwamakhasimende futhi benze inzuzo ephumelelayo.

Amanye amabhizinisi azimele azama ukuvula yonke imodeli yeketango lemboni yenyuka nomfula, isibonelo, i-Zhongjing Petrochemical yakha imodeli yochungechunge lwemboni yonke kusukela ku-propane, i-propylene, i-polypropylene nefilimu ye-polypropylene.

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I-JinDun Chemicalizibophezele ekuthuthukisweni nasekusetshenzisweni kwama-acrylate monomers akhethekile namakhemikhali akhethekile ahlanzekile aqukethe i-fluorine.I-JinDun Chemical inezimboni zokucubungula ze-OEM e-Jiangsu, e-Anhui nakwezinye izindawo eziye zabambisana amashumi eminyaka, ihlinzeka ngokusekela okuqinile kwezinkonzo zokukhiqiza ezenziwe ngokwezifiso zamakhemikhali akhethekile.JinDun UChemical uphikelela ekudaleni iqembu elinamaphupho, enze imikhiqizo enesithunzi, ecophelelayo, eqinile, futhi aphume konke ukuze abe uzakwethu othembekile kanye nomngane wamakhasimende!Zama ukwenzaizinto ezintsha zamakhemikhaliukuletha ikusasa elingcono emhlabeni.


Isikhathi sokuthumela: Mar-13-2023