Ngo-11:10 ngoNovemba 8, umkhiqizo we-polyester ethylene glycol we-Yulin Chemical Co., Ltd. we-Shaanxi Coal Group wethulwa ngokusemthethweni!Kungokokuqala ngqa ukuthi imikhiqizo ye-polyester yebanga le-ethylene glycol ekhiqizwe yi-Yulin Chemical Co., Ltd., ehlangabezana nezidingo ze-GB/T4649-2018, ithuthelwe e-Zhejiang Hengyi Group Co., Ltd., imboni eyaziwayo ye-polyester. eChina.
Ngemva kokuba intengo iqhubekile nokuwa futhi ishaye phansi entsha ngonyaka, ikusasa le-ethylene glycol lingene esigabeni sokuhlanganisa esiphansi.Ezinsukwini zakamuva, uma kuqhathaniswa ne-PTA kanye ne-staple fiber ochungechungeni lwemboni efanayo, intengo ye-ethylene glycol inyuke kakhulu, yake yahola kuwo wonke umkhakha we-polyester.I-"it" ebuthakathaka kakhulu emkhakheni we-polyester yasuka ngokuzumayo.Ingabe “iyinhlanzi enosawoti”?
Muva nje, intengo yei-ethylene glycolaphinde abe sezingeni eliphansi, okuholele ekukhuphukeni kwamakhemikhali amaningi.Mayelana nalokhu, u-Shi Jiaping, umhlaziyi ophezulu we-Huarui Information, wachaza ukuthi, ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukukhishwa kwe-ethylene glycol side supply kwakusobala kakhulu.NgoNovemba, umthamo wokuqala we-ethylene glycol wasekhaya wehle wafinyelela ku-55% - 56%, kuyilapho igesi yokwenziwa ku-ethylene glycol yokuqala umthwalo wehle wafinyelela cishe ku-30% - 33%, ngokuyisisekelo ukwehla komlando.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, intengo ye-ethylene glycol iwile ezingeni eliphansi, eliye laphambuka kakhulu ekulinganisweni.Njengamanje, umuzwa wemakethe usufudumala, futhi imikhiqizo enokucindezela okweqile kwenzuzo esigabeni sokuqala idinga ukulungiswa.
Muva nje, ikusasa le-ethylene glycol lihlehlisiwe futhi laphakama, "eliyingqayizivele" emkhakheni we-polyester.Eqinisweni, bekuwuhlobo lokulungiswa kokulinganisa ngemuva kokuthi wonke amabheji amabi adayiswe.Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, kusenamasethi amaningi wamadivayisi okulindeleke ukuthi afakwe ekukhiqizeni esikhathini esizayo.Kodwa-ke, ngaphansi kwesizinda esinjalo esingenathemba, okuhlanganisa ukususwa kwempahla encane ethekwini kanye nokwenyuka kwesikhathi eside kokusetshenziswa okuvela kuzinqubomgomo ezinkulu, kuzonikeza umfutho okhuphukayo we-ethylene glycol ecatshangwe kancane.Kusukela emiphumeleni, ukukhuphuka kwakamuva kwe-ethylene glycol kungcono kuneminye imikhiqizo ye-polyester.
1. Umthamo wokukhiqiza uthuthukiswa ngokwengeziwe, futhi amandla okuthuthukiswa kwamalahle ku-ethylene glycol makhulu.
Ngokwe-In deep Analysis of China's Ethylene Glycol Industry Development and Future Investment Research Report (2022-2029) ekhishwe yi-Guanyan Report Network, eminyakeni yamuva nje, imboni yomhlaba wonke ye-ethylene glycol ithuthuke ngokushesha, njengoba umthamo wokukhiqiza i-ethylene glycol kanye nomphumela ukhula unyaka. ngonyaka.Ngo-2021, amandla okukhiqiza i-ethylene glycol emhlabeni wonke azokhula ngo-19.4% unyaka nonyaka, futhi umphumela uzokhula ngo-7.5% unyaka nonyaka.Ngaphansi kwalesi sizinda, amandla okukhiqiza kanye nokuphuma kwemboni ye-ethylene glycol yaseChina nakho kuyanda unyaka nonyaka.
Mayelana namandla okukhiqiza, njengoba izwe linaka kakhulu imboni ye-ethylene glycol, isiqondiso esifanele kanye nezinqubomgomo ezisekelayo ezifana neFomula Yokukhuthaza Nokusebenzisa Ubuchwepheshe Nemikhiqizo Embonini Yamakhemikhali Nezamakhemikhali ngo-2021, Imibono Eyisiqondiso Ekuthuthukisweni. Ukuthuthukiswa Kwekhwalithi Ephezulu Yemboni Yamakhemikhali Nezamakhemikhali phakathi “noHlelo Lweminyaka Eyishumi Nane” kanye Nemibono Eqondisayo mayelana Nokuthuthukiswa Kwekhwalithi Ephezulu Yemboni Yezimboni Zemicu Yamakhemikhali ngo-2022 iyaqhubeka nokukhishwa, futhi isimo senqubomgomo yezimboni siyaqhubeka nokuba sihle, i-ethylene glycol yaseChina. amandla okukhiqiza akhula unyaka nonyaka.Ngokusho kwedatha, umthamo wokukhiqiza we-ethylene glycol waseChina uzokhuphuka usuka kumathani ayizigidi eziyi-8.32 uye kumathani ayizigidi ezingama-21.45 ukusuka ngo-2017 kuya ku-2021, ngesilinganiso sokukhula kwenhlanganisela yonyaka esingaba ngu-31%.
Ngokwezinga lokusetshenziswa kwamandla, izinga lokusebenzisa inani le-ethylene glycol e-China liphansi okwamanje, elalingaba ngu-68.63% ngo-2017;Izokwenyuka ifinyelele ku-73.42% ngo-2019. Kodwa-ke, kusukela ngo-2020 kuya ku-2021, ngenxa yomthelela wokuhlukaniswa nobhubhane ekhaya, ukugcinwa kwedivayisi ye-ethylene glycol, isilinganiso samandla kanye namanani aphezulu amalahle, umthwalo wokuqala we-ethylene glycol wasekhaya uphansi, futhi jikelele imboni iqala ukwehla kakhulu, okuholela ekutheni izinga lokusebenzisa umthamo we-ethylene glycol e-China lehle laya ku-60.06% kanye no-55.01% ngokulandelana eminyakeni emibili edlule.
Mayelana nokuphumayo, ngokwanda komthamo wemakethe ye-ethylene glycol kanye nokwanda okuphelele kwesidingo esingaphansi komfula, okukhiphayo nakho kukhombisa ukuthambekela kokukhula konyaka.Kusukela ngo-2017 kuya ku-2021, ukukhiqizwa kwe-ethylene glycol yaseChina kukhuphuke kusuka kumathani ayizigidi ezingu-5.71 kuya kumathani ayizigidi ezingu-11.8, futhi izinga lokukhula komkhiqizo walo liphinde labonisa umkhuba okhuphukayo eminyakeni emibili edlule, eqhutshwa ukukhula okukhulu kwamandla ayo okukhiqiza.Ngo-2021, izinga lokukhula kwe-ethylene glycol yaseChina lalicishe libe ngama-21.65% unyaka nonyaka, ngamaphesenti angama-2.63 ngaphezulu kwalelo lango-2020.
Kusukela ekushintsheni kwamandla okukhiqiza e-ethylene glycol eShayina, kuyabonakala ukuthi amandla okukhiqiza i-ethylene glycol aseShayina athuthuke nakakhulu eminyakeni emihlanu yakamuva, futhi imboni isesigabeni sokukhula nokuthuthuka.
Ngokwenqubo yemboni, kunezinqubo ezintathu zokukhiqiza ezijwayelekile ze-ethylene glycol e-China: ukuhlanganiswa (inqubo ye-naphtha/ethylene), i-MTO (i-methanol ku-olefin) namalahle ku-ethylene glycol.Njengamanje, ngenxa yobuchwepheshe obunekhono kakhulu be-petroleum kuya ku-ethylene glycol eShayina, okuwumzila wenqubo ojwayelekile, umthamo wokuklama we-petroleum kuya ku-ethylene glycol uba nenani eliphakeme kakhulu.Ngo-2021, umthamo wokukhiqiza we-petroleum ku-ethylene glycol e-China uzoba ngaphezu kuka-60%, futhi umphumela uzodlula amathani ayizigidi ezingu-7;Okwesibili ubuchwepheshe bamalahle kuya ku-ethylene glycol (umzila wamalahle owokusebenzisa igesi yokuhlanganisa amalahle kuqala, bese usebenzisa amanzi ne-carbon monoxide kugesi yokuhlanganisa njengezinto zokusetshenziswa ukulungisa i-ethylene glycol), amandla okukhiqiza abalwa ngaphezu kuka-30% kanye nomphumela ongaphezu kwamathani ayizigidi ezi-3.Intengo kawoyela ikhuphukile eminyakeni emibili yakamuva, futhi ukukhiqizwa kwamalahle ku-ethylene glycol eChina kukhule ngokushesha.Ngo-2021, ukukhiqizwa kwamalahle ku-ethylene glycol eChina kuzokhula cishe ngama-50% unyaka nonyaka.Njengoba iShayina inesakhiwo samandla “samalahle amaningi, igesi encane kanye nowoyela omncane”, amalahle aya ku-ethylene glycol yisici saseShayina mayelana nokuhlinzekwa okuphelele kwe-ethylene glycol eShayina.Esikhathini esizayo, amalahle aseShayina ku-ethylene glycol anamandla amakhulu okuthuthuka.
2. INaphtha ibuthakathaka futhi kunzima ukuyithuthukisa
Ukunikezwa okuxekethile kanye nesidingo kuholele ekusebenzeni kabi komkhakha we-ethylene glycol, futhi ukukhiqizwa kwahlala kuyibanga lenzuzo elibi.Ngasikhathi sinye, ukusebenza kwe-naphtha ne-ethylene yayo kubuye kuvilapha, okwenza ukusekelwa kwezindleko ze-ethylene glycol kube buthaka.
Ngokuphathelene nemakethe yomhlaba wonke yezinto zokusetshenziswa ze-ethylene glycol, ukuhlanganiswa kwe-naphtha kubala ingxenye enkulu, kulandelwa ukukhiqizwa kwegesi yemvelo nokukhiqizwa kwe-ethane phesheya kwezilwandle, nokukhiqizwa kwamalahle eChina.Ukuhlanganiswa kweNaphtha kwakuke kwaba inqubo yokukhiqiza enezinzuzo eziqinile zezindleko, kodwa kulo nyaka, intengo kawoyela eqinile nokusebenzisa buthaka kwaholela ekulahlekelweni okuphelele ochungechungeni lwemboni ye-olefin, amayunithi okuqhekeka kwe-ethylene anciphisa ukukhiqizwa endaweni enkulu, kanye nenani likawoyela ongahluziwe we-naphtha. umehluko wake wangena uhla olungeluhle, Lokhu kusho ukuthi intengo yomkhiqizo iphansi kunaleyo yezinto zokusetshenziswa, futhi ukukhiqizwa kulahlekelwe.Ekupheleni kuka-Okthoba, umehluko wentengo phakathi kwe-naphtha nowoyela ongahluziwe ubulokhu uguquguquka cishe uziro.Ubuthakathaka be-naphtha benza i-ethylene glycol ingabi nokusekelwa kwezindleko.Ngakho-ke, ohlelweni lwentengo kawoyela ekhuphuka futhi ehla, i-naphtha ilandela intengo kawoyela phansi, futhi i-ethylene glycol ilahlekelwa ukwesekwa kwezindleko.Lokhu futhi kuyisici esibalulekile sokuthi intengo ye-ethylene glycol iqhubeke nokuba buthakathaka kusukela ngekota yesibili yalo nyaka.
3. Intengo yamalahle enamandla ayikwazi ukusekela i-ethylene glycol
Umugqa wokukhiqiza amalahle uyinqubo eyingqayizivele yokukhiqiza i-ethylene glycol eChina.Njengamanje, amandla okukhiqiza amalahle asekhaya asefinyelele amathani ayizigidi eziyisi-8.65, okubalelwa ku-37% wawo wonke umthamo wasekhaya.Indlela yentengo yamalahle amakhemikhali inamandla uma kuqhathaniswa, futhi ibisebenza ngaphezu kuka-1100 yuan/ton isikhathi esiningi sonyaka, futhi isifinyelele ngaphezu kuka-1300 yuan/ton kusukela ngoSepthemba.Ukulahlekelwa kwamalahle ku-ethylene glycol ngokwethiyori kungaphezu kuka-1000 yuan/ton.Ngenxa yokuthi imithombo ye-syngas esetshenziswa iyunithi ngayinye ihlukile, inzuzo ethile yokukhiqiza ingahlulelwa kuphela.Kodwa-ke, amalahle ku-ethylene glycol abesesimweni sokulahlekelwa kusukela engxenyeni yesibili yalo nyaka, futhi ukulahlekelwa kuyaqhubeka nokujula ngokuqiniswa kwamanani amalahle.Kodwa-ke, ezinye izitshalo zamakhemikhali amalahle zisebenzisa igesi ye-coke oven tail ukuze zikhiqize, okungeyokugaywa kabusha kwemfucuza futhi okungathintwa intengo yamalahle;Ngaphezu kwalokho, kunezinye izinto ezisekelayo zezinkampani zamalahle.Enqubweni yokukhuphuka kwamanani amalahle, inzuzo yamalahle ekhuphuka icebile, ngakho-ke ukubekezelelana kokulahlekelwa kwe-ethylene glycol ephansi kuyathuthukiswa.Ngakho-ke, singabona ukuthi nakuba inzuzo yamalahle ku-ethylene glycol impofu kulo nyaka, iyunithi yayo ayithinteki kancane ngokuguquguquka kwenzuzo uma kuqhathaniswa neminyaka edlule.Ukushintshwa kwe-catalyst yonyaka kanye nezinye izidingo zokunakekelwa kweyunithi kugxilwe kwikota yesithathu, okuholele ekwehleni okusheshayo kwezinga lokusebenza kwamalahle kuya ku-ethylene glycol.Sekukonke, ngaphandle kokuvalwa kwamayunithi ambalwa ezimayini zangaphandle ngenxa yezinkinga zenzuzo onyakeni, ukusebenza kwamayunithi asekelwe kumalahle kuzinzile kulo nyaka, nokusekelwa okulinganiselwe kwe-ethylene glycol.
Uma sibheka phambili esikhathini esizayo, ukunikezwa okubuthakathaka nokulindelwe kwesidingo kuzogcina intengo ye-ethylene glycol ngaphansi kwengcindezi.amathani ayizi-600000 zamathani ayizigidi eziyi-1.8 e-Yulin, iMayini Yamalahle yase-Shaanxi anikezwe umsebenzi, kanti amanye amathani ayizigidi eziyi-1.2 asele kuhlelwe ukuthi akhiqizwe engxenyeni yesine.Ngaphezu kwalokho, iphrojekthi ye-Jiutai 1 million ton unit ethylene glycol nayo isifakiwe ekukhiqizeni.Ngokuzayo, kukhona okulindelekile ukuthi i-Sanjiang 1 million ton MTO kanye neyunithi ye-ethylene glycol esekela i-Shenghong Petrochemical izofakwa ekukhiqizeni.Kusukela engxenyeni yesine kuya engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka ozayo, ingcindezi entsha yokuhlinzeka nge-oethylene glycol isenkulu.Ukusetshenziswa kwetheminali okubuthakathaka kuyaqhubeka nokudonsela phansi imakethe ye-olefin.Intengo ephansi ye-naphtha yenza i-ethylene glycol ingabi nokusekelwa kwezindleko, futhi amanani amalahle asekhaya aqinile nawo anzima ukuba nomthelela omkhulu ku-ethylene glycol.Ukulindela kwezindleko ezibuthakathaka kanye nokuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo kuzogcina intengo ye-ethylene glycol iphansi.
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Isikhathi sokuthumela: Dec-16-2022